PM Starmer says next budget will be “painful” – what could investors do?

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer warned October's Budget “is going to be painful”, doubling down on recent comments from Chancellor Rachel Reeves. 

Sir Keir added: “those with the broadest shoulders should bear the heavier burden”.

Does this mean higher and top-rate taxpayers had better brace themselves for new tax rises? 

If that proves to be the case, more people than ever would be affected. Due to the combined effect of inflation and the income tax threshold freeze, the number of top-rate taxpayers has more than doubled in the past three years, whilst the number of higher-rate taxpayers is expected to rise to 6.31 million this tax year, up from 4.43 million.  

If you’re an experienced investor concerned about imminent tax rises, what could you consider doing to prepare? 

Tax rules can change, and benefits depend on circumstances. This is a brief outline based on current rules: there are detailed conditions and rules you should consider carefully before investing. Decisions should be based on the investment merit, not the tax reliefs alone.

Important: The information on this website is for experienced investors. It is not a personal recommendation to invest. If you’re unsure, please seek advice. These investments are for the long term. They are high risk and can fall as well as rise in value: you could lose all the money you invest. Tax rules can change and benefits depend on circumstances. Past performance is not a guide to the future.


Worried about a possible increase in CGT? How you could potentially halve a CGT bill

In the past – for instance, in 1988 when Nigel Lawson announced the forthcoming increase of the CGT rate to 40% – many rushed to crystallise their historic gains ahead of the change. We might see something similar if investors fear changes to CGT in the Budget this October - nothing is known for sure. 

Whether you already have a CGT liability, perhaps as a result of the decreased annual tax-free CGT allowance, or expect to have one in the near feature, there are ways to mitigate that.

An option experienced investors could consider is backing dynamic young companies under the Seed Enterprise Investment Scheme (SEIS). These businesses are among the smallest, youngest startups in the UK and HMRC offers investors generous CGT reliefs in recognition of the very high risks. 

When you invest any portion of a gain in SEIS, you could reduce the CGT bill on that portion of the gain by up to 50%. You may use the relief on investments in the tax year of your investment, or the year before. 

You can invest up to £200,000 per tax year. If the full £200k is invested tax efficiently you could currently receive:

  • Up to £100k (50%) in income tax relief
  • Up to £28k or £20k (50%) capital gains reinvestment relief, depending on the type of gain and when it was realised
  • Any growth is tax-free, the investment should also be IHT-free if held for two years and on death, and you could claim loss relief if things don’t go to plan. Please note: to use the CGT relief, you must have also claimed the income tax relief (up to 50%) in the same year. 

Make the most of available tax breaks whilst you can

Even without any changes to existing arrangements, taxes as a share of national income are forecast to grow from 36.5% of national income in 2024/25 to 37.1% in 2028/29, not least due to an ongoing freeze to income tax thresholds. (Also see our article: Income tax haul is set to swell, even if rates don’t rise)

If this worries you, you may want to consider using your tax-efficient allowances and reliefs in full whilst they are available – and as generous as they are. 

ISAs – tax-free growth and income

Every year, you can shield up £20,000 from tax on UK dividends, interest, and capital gains on investments within the wrapper.

SIPPs – up to 45% tax relief and tax-free growth

If you are eligible, contributing to a pension offers some of the most generous tax reliefs – including up to 45% tax relief on the way in and tax-free growth while you’re invested (you can read more in our article: Pensions: the most generous tax relief around?

VCTs, EIS and SEIS – up to 50% income tax and capital gains tax relief

If you’re an experienced investor comfortable with investment risk, once you’ve maximised your pension and ISA contributions you could consider investing in British startups via the government-backed Venture Capital Schemes.

In return for taking the risk of backing ambitious young businesses, Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs), the Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS), and the Seed Enterprise Investment Scheme (SEIS) could let you claim back some of the amount you invest from your tax bill. You could even claim back tax you’ve already paid. What’s more, if your investment increases in value, the growth could be free of CGT.

VCTs, EIS and SEIS are only for experienced investors. Tax rules can change and benefits depend on circumstances. Decisions should be based on the investment merit, not the tax reliefs alone.

VCTs – Lyma

VCTs

  • Up to 30% income tax relief
  • Tax-free dividends
  • You can invest up to £200k per tax year
  • Tax relief available in the tax year you invest
  • You must hold the investment for at least five years

EIS – Popsa

EIS 

  • Up to 30% income tax relief – in same tax year, or 'carry back’ to reduce previous year’s tax bill 
  • Capital gains tax deferral on gains made elsewhere
  • Loss relief
  • Inheritance tax relief (when held at least two years and upon death)
  • You can invest up to £2 million per tax year (if including knowledge-intensive EIS) 
  • You must hold the investment for at least three years to retain tax relief – you should expect to hold the investment considerably longer

SEIS investments – Cognism

SEIS

  • Up to 50% income tax relief – in same tax year, or 'carry back’ to reduce previous year’s tax bill 
  • Up to 50% capital gains reinvestment relief on gains made elsewhere 
  • Loss relief
  • Inheritance tax relief (when held at least two years and upon death)
  • You can invest up to £200k per tax year
  • You must hold the investment for at least three years to retain tax relief – you should expect to hold the investment considerably longer

Wealth Club aims to make it easier for experienced investors to find information on – and apply for – investments. You should base your investment decision on the offer documents and ensure you have read and fully understand them before investing. The information on this webpage is a marketing communication. It is not advice or a personal or research recommendation to buy any of the investments mentioned, nor does it include any opinion as to the present or future value or price of these investments. It does not satisfy legal requirements promoting investment research independence and is thus not subject to prohibitions on dealing ahead of its dissemination.